Madingley Model

The Madingley Model is Microsoft’s open-sourced mechanistic global model of ecosystems. It reproduces observed patterns and is giving interesting results. “reproduces many of the larger-scale patterns that we can see in ecosystems, such as geographical gradients in animal biomass, or trophic pyramids. This is an exciting ‘proof of principle’ that this kind of modelling is actually possible. However, we have already begun to examine what happens when you hit the model with simulated human pressures, such as deforestation and hunting of wildlife.”

“The model is the first to couple all of the key biological processes that underpin the life cycle and behaviour of all of the millions of trillions of the planet’s organisms – photosynthesis, feeding, metabolism, reproduction, dispersal, and death – in order to attempt to capture how such processes lead to the structure and function of whole ecosystems.”

There will be dragons:
Possibly used to predict mythical beasts.
“On April 1, Hamilton, May and Waters (1) drew attention to the likely resurgence of dragons under climate change. Unfortunately, their anecdotal approach fails to provide the relevant authorities with the information necessary to formulate effective mitigation strategies against the threat posed by an outbreak of these organisms.
Using a mechanistic model of whole ecosystems (The Madingley Model: 2, 3), we identified those locations where large ectotherms (adult body mass > 1.5 tonnes) could persist in a pristine world (no anthropogenic pressures) given current climatic conditions (Figure 1).”

Here’s a slightly (and kind of wonderfully) out-of-focus video explaining modeling of death: